Rabid Habs

The Forum: How Much Would You Pay Radulov?

Alex Radulov has turned into a fan favourite and an important piece for your Montreal Canadiens, but he’s a free agent at the end of the season. It’s seems clear the Canadiens will be bringing him back next year, and for several years to come, if they can. So what kind of contract would you be willing to give him if you were the Habs general manager?

 

Kyle Roussel (@kyleroussel) – I’ll break it down to what I would love to see in a best case scenario for the team, and what I think is probably more likely. He’ll be 31 when the 2017-18 season starts, so while he looks great now, he plays such a robust style that you never know when father time will catch up with a player.

I’d love to see him sign for 3 years, at anywhere between 16.5-18 million, which breaks down to an AAV of 5.5-6M per season. But I think Bergevin will have to go to a fourth, and maybe even a 5th year at 6.5-7M per season.

 

Olivia Lawrence (@Radulove47) – Radulov is the top 6 right winger we’ve been looking for. He seems to have chemistry with every player they put him with, especially with Pacioretty and Galchenyuk. Plus, I could really get used to the way he celebrates his goals or even his teammate’s goal. He doesn’t even need to be on the ice and he goes all out. He seems like an amazing teammate that I would love to see stick around. I was hoping Bergevin could lock him down for 3 years with an annual salary of 6-7 million. Keep in mind, he did take the one-year deal with Montreal, even though he was offered more term and more money else where.

 

Ian Boisvet (@Boisvertian) – I’m a bad general manager, so Radulov might just get the “blank check” treatment. That’s why it’s a good thing Marc Bergevin is in charge.

In order to talk about Radulov’s next contract, it’s important to consider the one he’s playing with now. According to CapFriendly, Radulov’s contract is worth $5.75 million over the course of the season. This contract is an outlier from the norm for a variety of reasons:

1. We rarely see high cap hits with low term.
2. It’s even rarer to see a 30 year-old sign a deal like that.

For these reasons, it’s really tough to see what Radulov could command on the open market. Is his $5.75 million a “show me” number, and he was told to play for a higher cap hit on his next deal? Possibly. Is that cap hit market price for a guy that produces like he does? What does a winger with Radulov’s production make? Here are some point comparables (point totals are through Tuesday’s game against Buffalo):

Alexander Radulov – 39 points in 49 games.
Mats Zuccarello – 38 points in 50 games, $4.5 million cap hit over next two seasons
Brandon Saad – 37 points in 39 games, $6 million cap hit over next four seasons
Nick Foligno – 40 points in 47 games, $5.5 million cap hit over next four seasons

Outside of the Zuccarello contract (which is a beautiful contract), it seems like Radulov his ready to hit the jackpot, unless, of course, this season saw him carry a higher cap hit due to the lower term, which is entirely possible. If you factor in term, I think Radulov should land a contract in the ballpark of $5.5 million – $6 million per year over the course of five or six seasons. This would keep Radulov with the Canadiens until the Russian winger is in his late thirties, and he may still have another 2-3 year contract still in him.

It’s not a matter of if the Canadiens ink Radulov to a long term deal, it’s a matter of when.

 

Zach Vanasse (@ZachDropsTweets) –